Some exit polls are indicating that United Russia might actually lose its majority in the Duma.
A few notes:
1) Even if it does lose its majority, United Russia will still be the biggest party in Parliament by far, and very close to a majority.
2) Even if it does lose a majority, I would expect United Russia to simply form a coalition with the pro-Kremlin "A Just Russia" (Справедливая Россия) Party, and continue on its merry way. The most dramatic exit poll still indicates that United Russia and A Just Russia would still combine to form a 52% majority.
3) However, even a coalition government might not have the 2/3-majority necessary to amend the Russian Constitution at will. The Constitutional order could finally stabilize.
4) Imagine what could happen if the missing 30% of the electorate actually turned out to vote!*
5) Imagine what could happen if there was no electoral fraud!*
ADDENDUM: A nice graphic of an exit poll by RIA Novosti can be found here. This version would actually have United Russia retaining its majority in Parliament, despite losing the popular vote. This is a distinct possibility at this point.
*Those stituations might lead to Communist or LDPR takeover of the Duma, which would probably be bad. I would say "maybe Yabloko could win," but that doesn't look likely any time soon.
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